Mute Labs // Command Centre
Brain
2026 · The Live Year

Four engines.
One public ledger.

Live data flows from markets, through the engines, into one public, version-controlled ledger. Hover an engine to inspect it · click to open its book.

Mute Labs · Equities

The Coordination Book.

From intelligence to action

P4 governs the decision, transaction and physical action. P3 supplies the watts.

AMBER+ — STAGE A ACTIVE / STAGE B UNCONFIRMED
01 Macro Timing

Where we are on the S&P 500.

AMBER+ — Stage A active / Stage B unconfirmed. Phase 2 remains SPX 7,197 or lower.

S&P 500 · Weekly Elliott Wave count · 200 EMA regime
SPX 200 EMA Wave marker

Macro determines sizing speed. It never rewrites company valuation zones.

02 Five Phases

The five stages of the AI cycle.

P1 and P2 produced the early returns. They are cycle indicators now, not the destination for new capital. P4 is the receiving phase. P3 remains because all coordination consumes power.

P1

Memory

Scarce compute input. Contracted memory remains a cycle sentinel. The permanent book no longer needs cyclical concentration here.

TransitionSKHY · SNDK
No new capital
P2

Shells / interconnect

Physical infrastructure and optical buildout. Useful historically. Crowded and cyclical. Not a strategic receiver.

TransitionGLW · IREN · CORZ
No new capital
P3

Power

The operating physical floor. Licensed nuclear, dispatchable generation, onsite torque. Permanent because P4 still requires real electricity.

PermanentBE · CEG · VST · 15%
Physical floor
P4

Coordination

Operational control, financial coordination, physical action. The businesses that govern intelligence, authorize economic action, and convert intent into movement.

P4-APLTR · CRM · NOW
P4-BMA · ICE
P4-CUBER
P4-DORCL · GOOGL
Receiving phase
P5

Physical AI

Robotics, autonomy, real-world compounding. Uber is the P4 gateway into this phase — not a separate sixth AI book.

GatewayUBER
Watch
03 P3 + P4

What we want to own.

The fund is no longer primarily trying to own every layer of the AI buildout. The permanent book is migrating toward the businesses that govern intelligence, authorize economic action, coordinate physical action, and own the durable power floor underneath the system.

P4 Total
67%
Coordination
P3 Power
15%
Physical floor
Ballast
3%
Countercyclical
Crisis Cash
15%
Permanent reserve
P4 of thematic
81.7%
Of equity sleeve

Crisis cash floor is 15%. Unfilled target weight remains cash in addition to that floor.

POWER FLOOR · BE / CEG / VST

Intelligence becomes investable when it creates governed economic action.

The roster

Twelve permanent names, grouped by phase. Target is destination. Funded is what the ladder has authorized. A shortfall is not permission to chase.

Grey gap = destination exists, price not open. Amber = company gate. Green = a zone is live. Gap is not an instruction to buy.

04 The Names

Why each name is in the book.

Role, moat, price, what evidence unlocks the next tranche, and what kills the seat.

05 The Price

Next legal actions.

Stage A is active: R0 only, 0.25%–0.75% initial entries, DAY orders. Macro sets speed. It does not rewrite company zones.

06 Transition

No new capital.

P1 and P2 names stay on the book until harvested. Stops still apply. Proceeds go only into an approved permanent-core entry — otherwise they remain cash.

07 The Receipt

Is P4 actually monetizing?

The payment is the receipt proving the agent has created economic value. This belongs in P4 — not a separate sixth AI phase.

MA = permanent core trust seat · Visa = reserve · COIN / NET / FIGR = research watches, not permanent core yet.

Thesis gauges

Green only when the metric is economic value, not narrative activity. Missing fields render as em dash.

08 The Gate

Validators influence size, never price.

Independent conviction · specialist conviction · crowding · strategic conflict. 13F is a confidence modifier, not an entry signal.

09 Record

Two eras. One account.

Buildout era · P1–P3

Memory · shells/interconnect · power.

Coordination era · P4

Operational control · financial coordination · physical coordination.

P1–P3 created the fund’s early returns. P4 is where the fund expects durable organic compounding to migrate as AI moves from capex to economic action. P3 remains because all coordination ultimately consumes power.

YTD 2026 · Era 1 + Era 2
+65.8%
Jan 1 – Jul 17, 2026
Chained account total across both eras. Not the framework record.
Framework inception Apr 24, 2026 → track record runs to Apr 24, 2029
Fund TWR
+16.92%
Era 2 framework
Selection
+54%
Deployed capital, approx.
Allocation
Cash / exposure effect
vs SPX
+12.8 pts
Era 2 +4.08%

Contribution by P4 / P3 / transition / cash is not in this export — rendered as em dash, not computed here.

Era 2 — Framework
+16.92% · vs SPX +4.08% · +12.8 pts excess
12 weeks · ~67% cash held · deployed capital ≈ +54%
Era 1 — Pre-Framework (Discretionary)
+54.4% (Jan 1 – Apr 24) · discretionary · 26 winning tickers / 52 closed lots
Pre-framework, unaudited.
10 The Log

What we actually did.

Trades and rule changes are separate ledgers. No after-the-fact rule makes a prior deviation look compliant.

Rule changes
Trades
CR Crypto · Beta Psyops

Beta Psyops sleeve.

Awaiting first export
No data published yet.

This section renders data/crypto.json exported by the Beta Psyops analysis session. It goes live on the first export.

SOURCE   data/crypto.json
CADENCE  weekly + on tranche deployment
STATUS  
SP Sports · Ball Blender

Project NBA v1.

Awaiting first export
No data published yet.

This section renders data/sports-bb.json exported by the Ball Blender BB session. It goes live on the first export.

SOURCE   data/sports-bb.json
CADENCE  per slate / settlement
STATUS  
CD Collectibles · Cards

Cardboard, run like a book.

Two sports, one portfolio, one deterministic engine. Vault grails held, core theses monitored, bankroll flipped upward. Book cost is shown as an aggregate only — per-card cost stays private.

Awaiting first export
No data published yet.

This section renders data/cards.json exported from the private card portfolio workbook. It goes live on the first export.

SOURCE   data/cards.json
CADENCE  after each mark / sale update
STATUS